OBJECTION: UFOs, when alien owned plus operated, could just be here, on-site, inside reaction to the contemporary human presence. That's really advocated by several professional UFO ETH buffs which how may it be a coincidence which aliens have arrived only simultaneously you began playing about with risky toys - nuclear weapons; entering space; plus reeking ecological havoc on ourselves. Skeptics counter which for people to be acknowledged by those available, they could just recognize of you through the electromagnetic (EM) data, that propagate outwards available at light speed. Thus, the EM data (nuclear blasts, radio/TV broadcasts, radar emissions, etc.) haven't had much time to receive really far available, considering before state 1900 Earth was very quiet inside offering off human technological EM sound. Even the atmospheric pollution, possibly detectable from technique available through spectroscopic analysis, wasn't absolutely at very abnormal degrees before 1900. It's just inside the 20th Century did it actually kick into excellent gear.
So, should you take 1947 because the begin year of the contemporary UFO era - their arrival date - plus presuming they left house because shortly because they recognized the EM signal then their house has go to be thus close by to Earth because to be statistically unlikely inside the extreme. Because ET's house is not inside the solar program, then by removal, which leaves nearby stars. But only subluminal interstellar travel can be done, plus even interstellar velocities of state 10% light speed are pushing the envelop. Our nearest stellar friends are over 4 light years away, thus it might take ET over forty years to reach you within the nearest stellar abode.
Add to this the 4 light years it took the EM signal to reach them to begin with, effectively that's about 44 years all up. Subtract which from 1947 - effectively, 1903 isn't recognized for the significant strength radio broadcasts, plus radar, TV plus nuclear lights continue to be future development. So, ET didn't arrive inside 1947 due to any human activity, plus because clearly just human activity might attract ET to travel here to begin with - consequently UFOs cannot be anything alien!
ANSWER: The standard supposition here is really anthropomorphic (human centered) because to be laughable. Firstly, whether or not the aliens arrived from concern to post-1900's human escapades, which doesn't signify they weren't absolutely here, when not on-site, inside the immediate solar program region, like having a lunar base, or an orbiting area colony ship because base of operations. One doesn't need to postulate them being a minimal of over 4 light years away. Secondly, let's forget the human element - because per the above mentioned argument, Planet Earth has been noted plus logged inside a galactic database for a minimal of millions of years, more probably because not an purchase of magnitude better - billions of years. It's an egocentric inspired, nevertheless only coincidence, which alien UFOs are about whenever people dominate Earth's environment.
OBJECTION: There's small or no credible evidence which any UFO event is interpreted because an alien spaceship doing its alien flying thing.
ANSWER: Okay, thus multi-tens of thousands of eyewitness accounts count for nothing, specifically whenever several of those sightings were by trained observers, plus multi-witness situations at which. Eyewitness situations are frequently supported up with a radar monitoring or ground traces or physiological effects or (electromagnetic) EM effects or movies or nonetheless pictures. Radar, ground traces, EM effects furthermore exist by their lonesome. UFOs are a worldwide phenomenon which cuts over all age, sex, racial, cultural etc. boundaries. If UFOs were simply the province of 1 nation or area, or just witnessed by those with an IQ lower than 90, effectively which will be suspect. UFOs have been taken really enough to be an official element of government programs from all over the world, unlike state poltergeist occasions that aren't, plus expert military plus scientific analysis cannot explain, depending about where plus time, between five plus 10 % of all UFO reports.
The truth which there exists such a thing because the UFO ETH should recommend which there is several suggestive evidence inside help. The UFO ETH just exists, post early 1950's, is considering for the initial 3 to 4 years of the then 'flying disc' or 'flying saucer' phenomena, late 1940's, 'saucers' or 'discs' were assumed to be terrestrial inside origin - secret Soviet equipment (to the Americans); secret American equipment (to the Russians). Whenever those tips became untenable, the apparent conclusions were it was all inside the mind; misidentifications, hoaxes, hallucinations etc. However which became because equally untenable because strong case following strong case came inside plus proven to be unexplainable by any plus all terrestrial possibilities. By removal - perfectly according to Sherlock Holmes, whenever you've eliminated the impossible, any remains, nonetheless improbable, need to be the truth - 1 was forced to at smallest consider the ETH a plausible alternative. However the illogic of the scientific notice was produced crystal well-defined inside the best debunking of the UFO ETH, the University of Colorado Scientific Study into UFOs [the Edward Condon study] that concluded it was all a great deal of trash - except for the truth which which surprisingly research, which especially report, couldn't explain away, with any terrestrial phenomena recognized, over 30% of the UFO situations it studied. It's like a jury stating 1/3rd not guilty; 2/3rds guilty - effectively most ayes have it - let's carry out the performance. So, what element of the term 'evidence' don't we know?
I create 1 protection but for the UFO ETH because scientists counter which every of the threads of ETI having been then or today about Earth are weak-in-the-knees with regards to strong evidence? Roswell is weak; UFO abduction instances are weak; the UFO conspiracy or cover-up case is weak; UFO photos plus videos are weak; UFO radar situations are weak; the case for Erich von Daniken's historic astronauts is weak; the ghost rocket sightings (1946) are weak; contactee claims are specifically weak; UFO eye-witness reports are unreliable, etc. However, place them (and more besides) all together plus like all advantageous detective stories combine/integrate all clues into 1 composite entire (following separating out the wheat within the chaff plus eliminating the red herrings) then your entire is a bit more than the sum of the components. You get a fairly consistent pattern which emerges; not the radio signal patter-of-little-dots-and-dashes the SETI scientist wants however a nuts-and-bolts along with a here-and-now pattern.
Now admittedly any 1 of the 100 different plus independent threads may inside itself be not all which convincing, yet then all 100 or thus threads are woven together - that's a different duck of another color. It's like when it looks like a duck - it might not be a duck. If it flies like a duck - it might not be a duck. If it walks like a duck - it will not be a duck. If it swims like a duck - it can not be a duck. If it quacks like a duck - it will not be a duck. However when it looks, flies, walks, swims plus quacks like a duck - then it's a duck!
What the UFO ETH debunkers are confusing here is the idea of 'evidence' vs. the idea of 'proof'. There are huge amounts of evidence for the UFO ETH because noted instantly above. As an example, I'd consider because element of legit evidence documents introduced beneath the FOI Act which show which inside 1947, the then Army Air Force (AAF) requested the FBI to support inside researching 'flying disc' reports all because element of the developing Cold War hysteria at the time. The FBI (Hoover) responded which they might cooperate just when they were granted access to the "crashed discs", anything the AAF refused. That's evidence; it's not proof.
In truth there's over enough eyewitness testimony plus bodily evidence which might meet any courtroom of law; any judge; any jury inside any additional set of circumstances to give a verdict of guilty. But the UFO ETH cannot yet be rendered guilty, considering though there's not yet to date a smoking weapon. There's no absolute under-the-microscope, found on the lab's slab, proof positive of the UFO ETH. If any UFO ETH buff states they have proof, tell those to 'put up or shut up'. If though they state they have evidence inside favor of the UFO ETH, ask them politely exactly what it is.
OBJECTION: If the UFO ETH is correct then clearly the 'land found on the White Home garden along with a take-me-to-your-leader' situation will be the apparent course of action for ET. That hasn't happened; consequently the UFO ETH is ridiculous.
ANSWER: An alien by description might need an alien notice, plus alien psychology, plus alien motives. We can't hold those to the specifications, the motives, the behavior patterns. Half the time I can't figure out why my pets do what they are doing!
According to hundreds (possibly thousands) of sci-fi writers plus naturally Hollywood (plus equivalents about the world), alien invasion is more a worthwhile situation - because entertainment anyway. But that hasn't occurred either, yet again that's no argument to recommend which considering there's been no alien invasion which UFOs can't be alien technologies. The U.S.A. hasn't invaded Canada anytime lately plus America has appropriate technologies to do thus when it sought.
That leaves alternative motives - scientific, financial, etc. Let's examine human equivalents. Humans have explored since that time you had the ability to explore. We've boldly gone, inside individual or through machine surrogates, to the depths of the ocean, to Antarctica, to the Moon, plus to the planets (actual, or inside the case of Pluto, about route). All this exploration for all useful reasons has been for the sake of really research, pure research, plus nothing yet the research. Needless to say there's generally an ulterior motive inside the back of the notice - exploration causes exploitation. We explore, you like what you see, you colonize, you exploit, you build hotels for R tomorrow you can exploit its resources. Why could the ET-Earth relationship be any different?
OBJECTION: Every cubic inch of the sky is monitored from above plus under 24/7/52 by very sophisticated electronic surveillance equipment, usually found on the lookout for sneak attacks plus to track satellites plus area junk. The orbits of thousands of pieces of room junk are recognized with excellent precision, whether or not which bit is not any heavier than a ham sandwich! Any alien spaceships which big or (obviously) greater that's up there, effectively, we'd recognize regarding it.
ANSWER: Advanced stealth development rules; ok anybody? It's a main plus ever continuous R perfectly let's only state which choice will grow waste disposal rates many 1000 fold plus consequently isn't a realistic choice. Therefore, you have small choice yet to utilize Planet Earth because a trash dump - much to the delight of archaeologists that base much of historic human history about merely these detritus. However naturally time, all-natural forces plus biological agents eventually deal with many types of human waste - strong, fluid plus gaseous.
Those same all-natural forces plus biological agents might equally strut their all-natural recycling plus breakdown stuff about ET's waste. However, inside addition, ET will plus does have the possibility of removing their detritus off world. Secondly, might you of need recognize plus distinguish ET's trash from all different types of human trash specifically without any apparent variations which might recommend these trash is somehow different plus ought to be topic to complex analysis which will be necessary to confirm which this trash isn't average trash however, extraordinary trash? Lack of ET's trash is not evidence of the shortage of ET.
There's another answer. A technologically advanced ET is possibly equally advanced inside recycling technologies. Should you undertake interstellar voyages you'd better be damned effective at recycling. Anyway, I don't remember anybody inside 'Star Trek' for illustration exiting behind their litter - an artifact, perhaps like a book about Chicago's gangsters yes, yet not trash! However talking of artifacts associated to ET, there has been many authors, very aside from Erich von Daniken, that have prepared jobs from pointing out archaeological evidence suggestive of ET. Now clearly much of which is embellishment plus wishful thinking plus frequently plain nonsense, however,, because nearly all of life's small mysteries are, this isn't an either/or condition. There are numerous shades of gray here plus I've sen many artifacts which are very suggestive of a ET inside the past, plus naturally when past tense, why not present tense? Now throw inside some mythology...
FINAL FALLBACK OBJECTION: The UFO ETH can't be consequently it isn't; alright it may be yet it nevertheless isn't; don't bother me with details, my notice is created up; plus in almost any event it's all pseudoscience plus I simply deal with real research. Trust me about this - I'm a scientist!
FINAL ANSWER: When on a time Galileo Galilei plus Nicolaus Copernicus might have been considered pseudo-astronomers; Heinrich Schliemann (of Troy fame) somebody that dabbled inside pseudo-archaeology; Charles Darwin had been a pseudo-naturalist; plus Alfred Wegener, clearly put forth a theory (continental drift) which may just be described because pseudo-geology at the time. Even initially Albert Einstein was thus far out inside left field which his scientific seniors plus superiors might conveniently have described his physics because pseudo-physics. Just time plus history is the judge whether the UFO ETH is or was pseudoscience or real research. The jury IMHO remains out about which matter.
CONCLUSIONS: Scientists rally up against the UFO ETH plus possibly they are appropriate - or not. Scientists aren't all-knowing. They too are human with the accompanying baggage which signifies as well as could, plus do, create errors.
Science librarian; retired.
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Arguments Against The UFO ETH And Why They Fail: Part Two
